Under Pressure For Several Weeks, Equities Could Be Signaling A Relief Is Imminent
Equities have been under pressure the last several weeks. Investor sentiment has taken a beating. Amidst this came signs last Friday that a relief could be in the making. With the major equity... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 11, 2025. 10-year note: Currently net short 737.1k, up 25k. In the futures market, traders are once again betting that there would be at... READ MORE
Friday’s Reversal Should Bode Well For Equity Bulls/Volatility Bears N/T, Even As Large-Cap Indices Are Now Down 3 Weeks In A Row
The major US equity indices have now dropped for three weeks. Amidst this, last Friday’s action should bode well for the bulls – at least in the near term. The ratio of VIX... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 4, 2025. 10-year note: Currently net short 712k, up 12.2k. Horizontal support at 4.2s-4.3s goes back years. Last week, the 10-year treasury yield closed... READ MORE
Amidst Elevated Valuations, Macro/Policy Uncertainty, Relief Rally Possible In Equities
The S&P 500 trades at elevated multiples. Earnings expectations for this year and next are very high. Enter macro uncertainty surrounding the fiscal/tariff policy of the Trump administration. Consumer sentiment has tumbled in... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 25, 2025. 10-year note: Currently net short 699.9k, down 9.7k. Non-commercials’ net shorts in 10-year note futures are down nearly 39 percent from the... READ MORE
Fri’s Big Selloff Appears Before NVDA’s Earnings Results Due Wed, With Stock Suffering Rejection In Jan At Nov High
Last Friday’s sudden selloff in equities speaks of heightened investor nerves. Amidst this, NVDA, the poster child of the AI revolution and the associated tech rally, reports this Wednesday; ahead of this, there... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 18, 2025. 10-year note: Currently net short 709.5k, down 41.5k. FOMC minutes for the January 28-29 meeting contained some interesting tidbits, including members’ citation... READ MORE