Rates Held Steady, And Fewer Hikes Priced In By End Of Next Year; Financial Conditions Could Tighten In Months/Quarters To Come Through Downward Pressure On Equities
As expected, the fed funds rate was left unchanged last week, and futures traders, post-FOMC meeting, unexpectedly lowered the number of quarter-point cuts through December 2027 to two from three pre-meeting. It is... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 27, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 981.5k, up 17.2k. The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) this week delivered what can be described as... READ MORE
No Change Expected In Fed Funds This Week, Long Rates Giving Back Some Of Recent Gains, And Equities Trying To Rally From Decent Support
As rates are expected to be left unchanged in this week’s FOMC meeting, inflation expectations for next year have firmed up a tad. Rates on the long end of the curve are near... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 20, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 964.3k, down 23.8k. The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meets next week. The policy-making body is meeting... READ MORE
Equity Bulls’ Inability Last Week To Cash In On Breakout Opportunity Likely To Allow For Bears To Get More Active
Large-cap bulls last week squandered an opportunity to leave a decisive mark on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. Those chances instead went begging, leaving the door open for the bears to inflict... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 13, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 988.1k, up 91.6k. Last week, after a massive rally, the 10-year treasury yield gave out subtle signs... READ MORE
Major U.S. Equity Indices Itching To Break Out
Equity bulls are positioned well to pull off a decisive breakout on both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. Help may come from rates and crude oil. The 10-year treasury yield has had... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 6, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 896.5k, down 4.1k. The persisting strength in the 10-year treasury yield has been the talk of the... READ MORE