Equity Indices Last Friday Acted As If Probable FOMC Hike This Week Was In The Price, But It May Be A Little Early To Reach That Conclusion
The FOMC has the green signal from both jobs and inflation to tighten policy this week. The major equity indices on Friday – the day August’s CPI was published – behaved as if... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 8, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 834.8k, down 74.5k. Last week, August’s much-better-than-expected jobs report – creating 162,000 non-farm jobs coupled with an... READ MORE
Having Witnessed Aug Jobs Report Give FOMC Green Light To Tighten, Major Equity Indices Await This Fri’s CPI For Final Verdict
Major equity indices essentially went sideways last week, and interest rates firmed up. August fared very well in job creation, and this probably puts the FOMC under pressure to tighten monetary policy, provided... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 1, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 909.3k, up 70.3k. Going into the two-day FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting ending on the 16th... READ MORE
With Sep Hike Looking Probable, Equity Bulls May Have Hard Time To Continue To Sell Story Of Unsustainable Profit Growth Of Last 2 Quarters
An interest-rate hike next month is looking like a certainty. Warsh’s hawkish posture on inflation, which has remained above the Fed’s target for more than five years, comes at a time when corporate... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of August 25, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 839k, down 108k. Once again, futures traders have brought rate-hike expectations forward to September (15-16) from December... READ MORE
With Deficit Spending 5%-6% Of GDPn And Government Interest Payments Through The Roof, Bessent Seeks To Mold Long Rates Lower
Markets are confused. Rate-hike expectations on the short end have been pushed back to December from September. Yields, however, are rallying on the long end. Just a few weeks ago, Fed Chair Warsh... READ MORE
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of August 18, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 947k, up 31.9k. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is taking on the bond market and could very well... READ MORE