Sharp Rise In Owners’ Equity Can Help Economy, But Watch Out For Trend Reversal

posted in: Credit, Economy | 0

US home prices continue to gallop ahead. There has been a marked increase in owners’ equity. This should buoy consumer sentiment and help the economy. The risk is when – not if – the trend reverses and goes the other … Continued

Stocks Rapidly Pricing In Growth/Profit Tailwind From Inventory Cycle, Among Others

posted in: Economy, Equities | 0

After the sharp contraction in economic activity in the early months this year, inventories are running low. Growth gets a tailwind as they get rebuilt. There is tight correlation between economic growth and corporate profits. Stocks are anticipating this. Home … Continued

Rosy Builder Sentiment, Surging Housing Starts, And Rising Supply Of New Homes

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities | 0

Are U.S. homebuilders getting too aggressive?  Makes you wonder. This month, the National Association of Home Builders housing market index rose three points to 64, to a 10-year high.  There have been times in the past when builder sentiment ran … Continued

June Softness In New Home Sales Preceded By Price Surge — Similar Fate Awaiting Existing Homes?

posted in: Economy | 0

There is a dichotomy between U.S. sales of new and existing homes.  This has been preceded by a dichotomy between how their median prices were diverging from each other. June saw existing homes jump to a seasonally adjusted annual rate … Continued