Draghi surprises; FXE downtrend accelerates, nears support

As discussed last week that non-commercial futures traders might just once again be ahead of the curve in anticipating market reaction to Thursday’s ECB decision, they indeed were.  By Tuesday (last week), they had raised net shorts in euro futures … Continued

Suppressed money velocity and recent strength in C&I loans

posted in: Economy, Equities | 0

The release of February’s commercial and industrial loan data ensued a lot of excitement.  ‘Finally!’ was the typical reaction.  The $36bn increase (to $1.67tn) was the largest month-over-month rise since October 2008.  March data just came out, and we learn … Continued

An ‘escape velocity’ that keeps escaping

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Are we there yet?  Have we yet reached the escape velocity?  You know the 6.96 miles-per-second speed needed to break free from the gravitational pull of the earth.  I am of course figuratively referring to the prevalent expectations that the … Continued