NIPA Profits Diverge From S&P 500 Non-GAAP Earnings, With Sell-Side Optimism Very High For Latter

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US corporate profits are now down four quarters in a row from the record 2Q22, even as the sell-side has S&P 500 non-GAAP earnings growing 11.7 percent this year and 11.5 percent next. The gap between GAAP and non-GAAP in … Continued

NIPA Profits Down 3 Quarters In Succession; Sell-Side Will Probably Continue To Revise ’23/’24 S&P 500 Estimates Lower

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NIPA profits are now down three quarters in a row. The downward momentum likely continues in an environment in which the fed funds rate has gone up by 500 basis points over 14 months. This will force the sell-side to … Continued

1H20 Corporate Profits Collapse, Earnings Revision Trend Improves For S&P 500 Companies Meanwhile

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US corporate profits collapsed 21 percent in the first half this year. Directionally, this is in line with operating earnings estimates for S&P 500 companies. In the latter’s case, the revision trend has improved the past two and a half … Continued

Earnings In Deceleration, U.S. Stocks Betting Acceleration Next Year

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Growth in U.S. corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments dipped into the negative territory in 3Q15 – both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year.  At a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2.06 trillion, they compared with $2.08 trillion in 2Q15 … Continued