CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Sep 12, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 251.7k, up 29.9k. The FOMC’s two-day meeting begins Tuesday.  A press conference by Janet Yellen, Fed chair, is scheduled for Wednesday.  After this, there … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Sep 5, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 221.8k, down 61.9k. Last week, 2Q17 real GDP growth was revised higher to three percent – much better than the post-Great Recession average of … Continued

S&P 500 Refuses To Buckle Under, But Sentiment Complacent Near Term

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

U.S. equity bulls regained momentum last week, but this also put near-term sentiment at/near complacency. Since rising to an all-time high of 2490.87 on August 8, the S&P 500 large cap index was bound by a falling trend line (Chart … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Aug 29, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 283.7k, up 22.5k. Hurricane Harvey may have given the Fed an excuse not to hike come December.  At least that is how markets are … Continued

Having Peaked 10 Q’s Ago, Corporate Profits Inch Up In 2Q17 – ’18 S&P 500 Ests Elevated

posted in: Economy, Equities | 0

U.S. corporate profits adjusted for inventory valuation and capital consumption grew 1.3 percent quarter-over-quarter in 2Q17 to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2.14 trillion, but growth has been uneven since peaking at $2.23 trillion in 4Q14. Since that peak … Continued

Stocks Offer Something For Both Bulls And Bears – Odds Again Favor Latter N/T

The past couple of weeks offered both equity bulls and bears a little something to celebrate.  The bulls got the relief rally, and the bears an opportunity to short.  What next? Since the S&P 500 large cap index peaked on … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Aug 22, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 261.2k, up 60.7k. Fed funds futures are currently pricing in 40 percent odds of a 25-basis-point increase in December, while September and November are … Continued

Another Relief Rally Likely — Equally Likely Shorts Show Up At Resistance

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

From the all-time high of 2490.87 on August 8 through last Friday’s intraday low of 2420.69, the S&P 500 large cap index shed 2.8 percent.  Not much in a big scheme of things.  It is still up 8.3 percent this … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Aug 15, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 200.6k, down 29.2k. The annual Jackson Hole economic policy symposium – slated for August 24-26 this year – is known for its news-making potential. … Continued

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