CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 18, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 282.3k, up 25.3k. Through Wednesday, $1.1 billion moved into TLT (iShares 20+year Treasury bond ETF) this month (courtesy of ETF.com). In late April, non-commercials … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 11, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 257k, down 5.9k. On Tuesday, markets interpreted Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s Humphrey Hawkins testimony as dovish.  Ten-year T-yields fell four basis points to 2.33 … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 27, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 302.1k, down 43.1k. Rising asset prices were once again a talk of the Fed town. On Tuesday, Janet Yellen, Fed chair, Stanley Fischer, vice-chair, … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 20, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 345.2k, up 71.2k. Last week, 10-year T-yields lost – albeit ever so slightly – a rising trend line from last July.  Back then, yields … Continued

Shortly After Range Breakout, Russell 2000 Repelled At Rising Channel Resistance

Post-presidential election last November, a fire was lit under U.S. small-caps.  Between November 8 and December 9, IWM (iShares Russell 2000 ETF) jumped north of 16 percent.  QQQ (PowerShares Nasdaq 100 ETF) only rallied two percent during the period. As … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 13, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 274k, up 61.9k. Market reaction to the FOMC decision Wednesday smacked of confusion, to say the least. As expected, the Fed raised the fed … Continued

Mar ’09 Trend Line Intact On Major U.S. Equity Indices – Can Drop A Good Deal Before A Test Occurs

Last Friday sent shivers down U.S. equity bulls’ spine.  Sort of.  The rout in tech stocks in particular was unsettling. After rising to a new all-time high of 5897.69, the Nasdaq 100 index lost 2.4 percent Friday.  Intraday, it was … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 6, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 212.1k, down 46.1k. The Fed is all set to hike next week.  Futures are pricing in 99.6-percent odds of a 25-basis-point increase.  This will … Continued

Having Failed In Feb And Apr, Russell 2000 Attempts Another Range Breakout – Flows Not Cooperating

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Third time is a charm for small-caps? Having tried – and failed – twice to break out of a months-long range, the Russell 2000 small cap index went for a third one last week.  Odds favor it meets with the … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 30, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 258.2k, down 104.3k. “If the tension between the progress on employment and the lack of progress on inflation persists, it may lead me to … Continued

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