Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 6, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 896.5k, down 4.1k. The persisting strength in the 10-year treasury yield has been the talk of the town. In February this year, these notes … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 29, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 900.6k, up 88.9k. FOMC minutes for the September 15-16 meeting are due out Wednesday. The fed funds rate was raised by 25 basis points … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 22, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 811.8k, down 9.5k. Lateral support at 4.75s on the 10-year treasury yield was never tested, with this week’s low taking place at 4.93 percent … Continued
The Fed raised rates for the first time in just over three years. Equities are acting as if it is one, or two, and done. But futures traders are pricing in three more hikes by December next year. The major … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 15, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 821.2k, down 13.5k. Markets were begging the Federal Reserve’s FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) to hike, and the policy-making body did not disappoint, raising … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 8, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 834.8k, down 74.5k. Last week, August’s much-better-than-expected jobs report – creating 162,000 non-farm jobs coupled with an upward revision for June and July – … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 1, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 909.3k, up 70.3k. Going into the two-day FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting ending on the 16th this month, markets were laser-focused on two … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of August 25, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 839k, down 108k. Once again, futures traders have brought rate-hike expectations forward to September (15-16) from December (8-9), with the probabilities for a quarter-point … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of August 18, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 947k, up 31.9k. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is taking on the bond market and could very well be on a collision course with the … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of August 11, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 915.1k, down 64.2k. FOMC minutes for the July 28-29 meeting will be published on Wednesday. During the meeting, the fed funds rate was left … Continued