CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 8, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 834.8k, down 74.5k. Last week, August’s much-better-than-expected jobs report – creating 162,000 non-farm jobs coupled with an upward revision for June and July – … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 28, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 876.1k, down 3.6k. Markets are having a tough time adjusting to a new Federal Reserve chair. As head of the central bank starting May … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 21, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 879.7k, up 48k. The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meets next week (28-29), and this will be the second meeting chaired by newly appointed … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 14, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 831.7k, up 17.4k. The FOMC meets in 10 days (July 28-29), and the ground may be shifting toward a point where hawkish members begin … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 9, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 863.8k, up 34.2k. Newly appointed Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will be chairing an FOMC meeting for the first time next week; the two-day … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 17, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 597.9k, up 63k. The FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) held rates as expected. The fed funds rate was left unchanged at a range of … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 10, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 534.9k, down 119.6k. In the 12 months to January, headline and core CPI rose 2.4 percent and 2.5 percent respectively; headline and core PCE … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Jan 20, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 655.6k, down 214.9k. The FOMC meets next week. In the futures market, under five percent of traders are currently pricing in a 25-basis-point cut, … Continued

Valuation Metrics At/Near Records No Timing Tools But Do Reflect Excesses That Are Accumulating

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

After back-to-back 20-percent gains in 2024 and 2023, the S&P 500 is up another 12 percent this year. Its market cap is near $59 trillion. Several valuation multiples are either elevated or at fresh records, even as households’ equity allocation … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Sep 9, 2025. 10-year note: Currently net short 858k, down 10.4k. Next week, the FOMC meets. The two-day affair ends on Wednesday, and this will be the sixth meeting this year; two … Continued