CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 22, 2025. 10-year note: Currently net short 749.5k, down 22.8k. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets next week. The two-day (Tuesday-Wednesday) affair will be the fifth scheduled meeting this year, … Continued

With Fed Unlikely To Surprise Markets With Decidedly Dovish Message, Major US Equity Indices Probably Eyeing Lower Prints For Now

posted in: Credit, Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Unless the Fed surprises the markets with a markedly dovish message on Wednesday, the major US equity indices act like they want lower prints for now. Large-cap indices last week came so close but failed to top February highs. The … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 10, 2025. 10-year note: Currently net short 724.1k, up 18.8k. The FOMC meets next week. This is the fourth scheduled meeting this year, and four more remain. During the May 6-7 … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 29, 2025. 10-year note: Currently net short 871.5k, down 34.5k. The FOMC meets next week. The two-day meeting ending Wednesday is the year’s third, and five more remain after this. During … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 18, 2025. 10-year note: Currently net short 881.4k, up 144.3k. As expected, the FOMC left the fed funds rate steady at a range of 425 basis points to 450 basis points. … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 21, 2025. 10-year note: Currently net short 580.2k, up 12.3k. The FOMC meets next week. The 28-29 meeting is the first this year. It is certain the fed funds rate will … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 29, 2024. 10-year note: Currently net short 901.2k, up 53k. The FOMC meets next week on Tuesday-Wednesday. A 25-basis-point cut is priced in. Immediately after the policy-setting body reduced the fed … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of September 10, 2024. 10-year note: Currently net short 1,022.1k, up 19.3k. The FOMC begins a two-day meeting next Tuesday. This will be the sixth meeting this year, and two more remain – … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 23, 2024. 10-year note: Currently net short 641.9k, up 4.4k. The FOMC meets next week. This will be the fifth meeting this year, and three more remain. It is certain the … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 4, 2024. 10-year note: Currently net short 454.8k, up 66.6k. The FOMC meets next week. This will be the fourth meeting this year, and four more remain. The fed funds has … Continued