CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Aug 15, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 200.6k, down 29.2k. The annual Jackson Hole economic policy symposium – slated for August 24-26 this year – is known for its news-making potential. … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Aug 8, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 229.8k, up 19k. In the past several months, several Fed officials, including Chair Janet Yellen, have expressed concern over persistently rising stock-market valuations. Using … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Aug 1, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 210.9k, down 69.8k. So far this year, there have been two rate hikes – and four altogether since the Fed started raising in December … Continued

With Handsome Gains YTD, Major U.S. Indices Give Out Signs Of Fatigue

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Amidst 2Q17 earnings and elevated multiples, some signs of fatigue are showing up on major U.S. indices. As of last Thursday, 2Q17 operating earnings of S&P 500 companies were on course for $30.70.  In the year-ago quarter, they were $25.70 … Continued

Russell 2000 Once Again Bounces Off Support, Likely Rallies Further – Medium-Term Outlook Sour

The Russell 2000 small cap index once again sits right underneath the upper bound of a five-month range. From the 4th through the 20th in November last year, the Russell 2000 jumped 16.5 percent to 1247.2, rallying every single session … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 7, 2017. 10-year note: On January 26, 10-year yields began dropping after hitting 2.56 percent, lower than the 2.62 percent on December 15 – hence lower highs.  In the meantime, they … Continued

Major U.S. Indices Clinging On To Support – Medium-Term Risk High

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Equity bears have been rewarded the past couple of weeks, with the S&P 500 large cap index down 1.6 percent.  There is likely more reward medium term, but near-term is a toss-up. In the wake of the 2.5-percent drop on … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 9, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Are we beginning to see a chink in central bankers’ armor? Major central banks responded to the financial crisis by aggressively deploying both … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of April 26, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Two different central-bank meetings, and two different market reactions this week. Haruhiko Kuroda, Bank of Japan governor, has a habit of surprising the … Continued

1 2