Bond yield/earnings yield ratio lousy metric in present circumstances

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities | 0

One valuation tool equity bulls consistently use to justify current stock valuations – as well as to argue for further multiple expansion – is by comparing bond yield to earnings yield.  There is a metric known as ‘bond equity earnings … Continued

Mismatch between capex-cautious but profit-rich corporations and already-levered but ready-to-take-on-more-debt consumers

posted in: Economy, Equities | 0

The 1Q14 GDP print was a shocker, to say the least!  Real GDP inched up a mere 0.1 percent SAAR, versus consensus expectations of 1.2-percent expansion.  Sure, it is the advance estimate, with two more still to come.  Sure it … Continued

Suppressed money velocity and recent strength in C&I loans

posted in: Economy, Equities | 0

The release of February’s commercial and industrial loan data ensued a lot of excitement.  ‘Finally!’ was the typical reaction.  The $36bn increase (to $1.67tn) was the largest month-over-month rise since October 2008.  March data just came out, and we learn … Continued

An ‘escape velocity’ that keeps escaping

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Are we there yet?  Have we yet reached the escape velocity?  You know the 6.96 miles-per-second speed needed to break free from the gravitational pull of the earth.  I am of course figuratively referring to the prevalent expectations that the … Continued