IWM – Risks Elevated Medium Term, Coin Toss Near Term

Even though trade tensions particularly between the US and China have heated up, small-caps – supposed beneficiaries of a trade war – have stalled of late.  Medium term, downside risks are huge.  In the very near term, it is a … Continued

Early Signs Of Large-Cap Fatigue Spreading To Small-Caps, Tech

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Signs of fatigue are showing up in US equities.  It began with large-caps, and now there are early signs it is spreading to small-caps as well as tech. The small-cap switch was turned on right after Donald Trump was elected … Continued

Trump’s China Tariffs Versus China’s Trump Card

posted in: Credit, Economy | 0

China’s holdings of Treasury securities fell $5.8 billion month-over-month in April to $1.18 trillion.  It remains the largest holder of these securities.  In China versus the US, if the current trade spat turns into a trade war, these securities could … Continued

Too Simplistic To Say Small-Caps Will Outperform In Case Of Trade War

posted in: Currency, Equities, Technicals | 0

As talk of potential trade war heats up, attention has shifted to U.S. small-caps.  Deserved or too simplistic? Early last week, the Russell 2000 small cap index tried to take out not one but two levels of resistance – the … Continued