Equity Bulls Positioning For Seasonal Strength; Core PCE This Week, Inflation-Focused Fed Meets Middle Of Next Month

It is a seasonally strong period for stocks. Bulls are wasting no time getting ready for this. Stocks are rallying. In the best of circumstances, there is room to run still, with the caveat that an important inflation report is … Continued

Major Equity Indices Break Out To New Highs, Worth Keeping Immediate Support In Mind

Major equity indices had a good week last week. Stocks are currently in the midst of many crosscurrents, not to mention inflation, aggressive monetary policy and several extended metrics. Even though they have broken out of, or are near, important … Continued

IWM Short Interest Jumps To 9-Month High As Cracks Open Up In Russell 2K Momentum

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

IWM short interest rose to a nine-month high at the end of March. This could potentially help the longs should they succeed in squeezing the shorts. The problem is (1) the Russell 2000 has had a massive rally in the … Continued

7 Sessions After Bouncing Off Channel Support, R2K Rallies To Upper End, Resistance Likely

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

The Russell 2000 continues to diverge with small-business profit trend. Having rallied the index 138 percent from the low of last March, bulls are salivating over this year’s consensus profit estimates. In the meantime, on the back foot for nearly … Continued

Just Before Wed Selloff, Investors Intelligence Bulls Rose To 8-Week High – N/T Notwithstanding, Sentiment Remains Effusive L/T

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

A day before Wednesday’s mini-collapse in major US stock indices, Investors Intelligence bulls reached a multi-week high. Some of these indices are near important support, providing bulls an opportunity to regroup. Longer-term, sentiment remains elevated. Equities took it on the … Continued

Last Week’s 1600+ Breakout On Russell 2000 Major Victory For Bulls, Bigger One Awaits Should They Defend Imminent Retest

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

The Russell 2000 broke out last week – a big victory for small-cap bulls. They will have scored a bigger one should they decisively defend breakout retest, which looks imminent. Last week, the Russell 2000 staged a major breakout, rallying … Continued

After Several Tries, Russell 2000 Breaks Out Of 1450s, But Bears Not Backing Down Just Yet

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

The Russell 2000 Wednesday broke out of 1450s, although bulls were forced to retest the breakout in the very next session.  Wednesday’s low-volume breakout comes against the background of a collapse in small-cap earnings this year and elevated optimism next … Continued

Russell 2000 Back Below 1250s; Shorts, Who Have Been Adding, Will Have Strengthened Odds Should 1170s Give Way

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Two weeks after breaking out of 1250s, the Russell 2000 (1233) is back below it.  IWM shorts never bought into the breakout.  They were probably driven more by the sharp deterioration in small-business profit trend.  Longs will be on the … Continued