Small-cap earnings are coming in much weaker than expected when these companies began reporting the fourth quarter – or even when the December quarter began. Small-business optimism remains subdued. Yet, the sell-side expects blockbuster earnings this year. The Russell 2000 … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 17, 2023. 10-year note: Currently net short 710.7k, down 2.2k. Yet another week and yet another intraday high! Thursday, the 10-year treasury yield reached the highest since July 2007 – a … Continued
IWM short interest rose to a nine-month high at the end of March. This could potentially help the longs should they succeed in squeezing the shorts. The problem is (1) the Russell 2000 has had a massive rally in the … Continued
Small-caps are clinging on to major support. The closest the Russell 2000 came in testing major resistance just north of 1600 was Monday when it rallied to 1537.62 intraday. The next couple of sessions, sellers came out in droves. The … Continued
Bulls put foot down. Bears had an opening but were unable to make much out of it. Another opportunity to take on the snorting bulls may be just around the corner. Since the S&P 500 large cap index (3297.59) peaked … Continued
Small-caps broke out last week. This comes amidst earnings deceleration and softening in several macro data. If things turn up as they did in early 2016, bulls would have been vindicated. Their conviction level will be put to test by … Continued
With bulls latching on to every positive fundamental data, small-caps continue to build on breakout from three weeks ago. From the perspective of how they are acting and how they have outperformed their large-cap peers, small-caps are winning big. After … Continued
Traders are positioning for a Santa rally, but they are trying to play it safe. Intraday over the last six sessions, VIX (9.58) collapsed five points, in the process also losing shorter-term moving averages, as well as the 50- and … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 3, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 263k, down 39.1k. The speed by which long rates rose the past couple of weeks took many by surprise. Intraday between June 26 and … Continued
Wednesday’s rout in stocks is a reminder that when stretched too far a rubber band will snap. And when that happens, it will do so with plenty of energy. The S&P 500 large cap index has not had a one-percent … Continued