Sentiment Is Giddy, But Small-Caps Not Getting Fair Share

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Driven by tax-cut optimism and favorable seasonality, trader/investor sentiment is giddy, but small-caps are not getting their fair share. The latest Investors Intelligence numbers will be out later today, but as of last week, bulls have been 60 percent or … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 12, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 44.7k, up 30.4k. The Fed and the Administration are not on the same page when it comes to expected growth in the U.S. economy.  … Continued

Traders Prepare For Santa Rally, But With Defensive Bias

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Traders are positioning for a Santa rally, but they are trying to play it safe. Intraday over the last six sessions, VIX (9.58) collapsed five points, in the process also losing shorter-term moving averages, as well as the 50- and … Continued

Risk-Reward Dynamics Argue Better Dip-Buying Opportunities Ahead N/T

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Once Again, a rally in VIX was used as an opportunity to sell – sell hard. Last Friday, in the wake of the Michael Flynn news, VIX shot up to 14.58 intraday but only to end the session up 0.15 … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Nov 28, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 123.9k, up 12.9k. The U.S. economy is in its ninth year of recovery. Post-Great Recession, real GDP has grown at an average 2.2 percent.  … Continued

Opportunity For Seasonality-Focused Dip-Buyers — Stocks Likely To Take Breather Soon

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Major U.S. stock indices rallied to fresh new highs last week.  Even small-caps, which until recently had been lagging their large-cap brethren, joined the party. With seasonality in their favor, will the bulls be able to build on this or … Continued

Relief Rally Underway, Even As VIX In Process Of Forming Golden Cross

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

On major U.S. equity indices, buyers stepped up to the plate just where they needed to.  Can they sustain it? From peak to trough, after reaching an all-time high on March 1 (2400.98), the S&P 500 large cap index shed … Continued

Amid Mixed Volatility Messages, Volatility Curve Is One To Listen To Near Term

posted in: Derivatives, Equities | 0

Monday marked a history of sorts. All four major equity indices – the S&P 500 large cap index, Dow Industrials, Nasdaq composite and the Russell 2000 small cap index – broke out to fresh new highs.  The last time this … Continued

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