Iron Condor On SPY Assuming Range-Bound Action Continues This Week

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Of late, volatility has been volatile.  Twice in the past 15 sessions, VIX, the S&P 500 Volatility Index, has surpassed 16, only to quickly reverse to the downside, and broken below 12 three times, only to reverse to the upside. … Continued

Whipsaws aplenty; difficulty distinguishing signal from noise

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Put-to-call ratios, VIX:VXV point to potential selling pressure in stocks But large specs expecting lower VIX not in agreement with peers betting on lower SPX Task of separating wheat from chaff – which signal to treat as signal and which … Continued

Peek into future through futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 31, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: At some point, the streak had to end.  For 12 months to February, U.S. non-farm payroll grew 200k-plus month-over-month.  Consensus was for that … Continued

With powerful reversal yesterday, stocks’ path of least resistance up N/T

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

U.S. stocks shake off early weakness before carving out major reversal Bulls step up to plate, refuse to give away support zones on major indices VIX and ISEE index suggest stocks’ path of least resistance probably up N/T If you … Continued

Momentum is breaking down, bulls better step up to the plate

posted in: Credit, Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Rather quick deterioration in momentum in U.S. stocks From sentiment to Greece to $, worrywarts have plenty of things to worry about Next couple of days will be crucial for bulls to step in and try not to let things … Continued