Will Small-Caps Pull Large-Caps Higher Or Will High-Yield Drag Small-Caps Lower?

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

US small-caps are outperforming.  Price action is great.  But large-caps are not on the same page.  And high-yield corporate bonds have diverged with small-caps for a while now. In early 2016 when US stocks reached a major low, several other … Continued

WTI slices through 16-year support

True to ‘when it rains, it pours,’ Goldman turns bearish on oil Sustained low price will reverberate through oil earnings, jobs, capex Technicals have probably already spoken; WTI unable to save 16-year support Remember Arjun Murti?  He was a Goldman … Continued

Momentum is breaking down, bulls better step up to the plate

posted in: Credit, Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Rather quick deterioration in momentum in U.S. stocks From sentiment to Greece to $, worrywarts have plenty of things to worry about Next couple of days will be crucial for bulls to step in and try not to let things … Continued

Markit expects Dec U.S. private payroll growth of sub-200k; oil to blame?

posted in: Economy | 0

Markit forecast of sub-200k private payroll growth this month a surprise U.S. unemployment claims, near historical lows, need catalyst to begin to move up Oil-heavy states are yet to see jobs impact of drop in crude, but only a matter … Continued

Collapse in oil price to rock hitherto-stable unemployment-claims boat?

posted in: Economy | 0

U.S. unemployment claims near historical lows, job cuts subdued In a sea of stability, could an ocean of troubles be lurking? Crude drop in oil price has potential to throw a curve It is always cheap – and prudent – … Continued

OPEC/shale oil brinkmanship begins — who will blink first?

posted in: Credit, Economy | 0

2014 on track for 3rd successive year of $300bn-plus high-yield issuance; energy 15% of junk market By not cutting 30mn bpd production target, OPEC ready to lock horns with shale oil As both sides play game of ‘who will blink … Continued