CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Nov 28, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 123.9k, up 12.9k. The U.S. economy is in its ninth year of recovery. Post-Great Recession, real GDP has grown at an average 2.2 percent.  … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Nov 21, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 111.1k, up 36.2k. “In light of elevated asset valuations and low financial market volatility, several participants expressed concerns about a potential buildup of financial … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 18, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 282.3k, up 25.3k. Through Wednesday, $1.1 billion moved into TLT (iShares 20+year Treasury bond ETF) this month (courtesy of ETF.com). In late April, non-commercials … Continued

Bulls Under Tremendous Pressure To Save Support on Spot WTI

Crude oil made the headlines big last week – in an adverse manner.  Not that it has not been in the headlines.  But last week was different in that it entered a bear market, which supposedly happens when an asset … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 24, 2017. 10-year note: Yields (cash) rose 14 basis points for the week to 2.48 percent, having risen as high as 2.56 percent intra-day Thursday.  Earlier, they bottomed at 2.31 percent … Continued

Sideways For Weeks, Crude Oil Ceases To Respond To +ve News

Over the weekend came news that OPEC and non-OPEC producers had taken 1.5 million barrels per day out of the market.  They had earlier agreed to output cut of 1.8 mb/d in the first six months this year. OPEC first … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 13, 2016. 10-year note: With the Fed this week having raised by 25 basis points the fed funds target rate to a range of 0.5 percent to 0.75 percent, its conventional … Continued

OPEC Wants Higher Price But Not High Enough To Aid U.S. Shale

Over the weekend, non-OPEC producers agreed to cut crude output by 558,000 barrels per day, of which Russia would reduce by 300,000 b/d.  This followed OPEC’s November 30 decision to cut output by 1.2 million b/d. The deal goes into … Continued

In Need To Digest Post-Election Optimism, S&P 500 Faces Dual Resistance

Since the U.S. presidential election through the intra-day high last Thursday, 10-year T-yields jumped 63 basis points, and two-year yields 27 basis points.  From the July 6 all-time low of 1.34 percent, 10-year yields surged 115 basis points. Riding on … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of November 22, 2016. 10-year note: Like that, 10-year Treasury yields rallied north of 100 basis points in four and a half months – from the all-time low 1.34 percent on July 6 … Continued

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