Rangebound Russell 2000 Struggles To Break Free Even Amidst Better-Than-Expected Earnings, Strong Domestic Economy

Small-cap earnings are coming in better than expected. The economy continues to churn out strong numbers. But small-caps, which by nature have larger domestic exposure, continue to trade within a five-month range. Near term, potential lower volatility can help bulls … Continued

Loss Of Support On RVX Can Help Small-Cap Bulls, But A Falling Ratio Of Russell 2000 To S&P 500 Looms Large

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

RVX is clinging on to support.  A breakdown may help small-cap bulls near term, as the Russell 2000 itself is at/near resistance.  That said, a ratio between the index and the S&P 500 just made a multi-year low. RVX, which … Continued

Small-Caps Led Large-Caps Last Week, Bulls Hope This Continues In Risk-On Sign, Should Stocks Come Under Pressure Near Term

Amid continued signs of macro deceleration, next year’s estimates for small-caps continue higher.  The Russell 2000 index, however, is not quite buying this optimism.  Last week, it led its large-cap peers, but remains under crucial resistance.  Should small-caps come under … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 12, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 336k, down 61.6k. With this week’s 25-basis-point raise, the fed funds rate now stands at 175-200 basis points, up 175 basis points since December … Continued

Russell 2000 Once Again Bounces Off Support, Likely Rallies Further – Medium-Term Outlook Sour

The Russell 2000 small cap index once again sits right underneath the upper bound of a five-month range. From the 4th through the 20th in November last year, the Russell 2000 jumped 16.5 percent to 1247.2, rallying every single session … Continued

Small Caps Rally Back To Range Resistance – Shorts Can Get Active/Bulls Can Get Tempted To Sell

Down 5.6 percent from intraday peak to trough in 19 sessions, and then up 4.1 percent from low to high in five.  The Russell 2000 small cap index continues to play ping pong between range support and resistance. Last Friday, … Continued

Small-Cap Bulls Defend Support Again, Staring At Tons Of Resistance Above

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Determined not to let go of nearly four-month support, small-cap bulls once again stepped up to the plate Monday. From down 1.4 percent intraday to close the session up 0.2 percent, the Russell 2000 small cap index initially got pushed … Continued

Spot VIX Sub-13 For 3 Straight Sessions, Volatility Curve In Steep Contango

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The last time spot VIX closed under 13 for three consecutive sessions was in early August last year.  In fact, VIX back then stayed sub-13 for four straight sessions ended August 3rd, and registered three more sub-13 readings by August … Continued