Weekly Short Put On IWM Expecting Stability Near-Term

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Do non-commercials have it right?  Their net shorts in Russell 2000 futures peaked at 46,064 contracts on August 18, a week before stocks, including small-caps, bottomed.  Since then, they have gradually been reducing their bearish bias, with holdings at -27,708 … Continued

Post-Exercise Of Naked Weekly Short Put, Selling IWM

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Small-caps were big laggards last week.  IWM, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF, lost 2.5 percent, versus drops of 1.3 percent for the S&P 500 Index, 1.8 percent for the Dow Industrials and 1.7 percent for the Nasdaq Composite, among others. … Continued

In Wake Of Huge Tuesday Reversal, Short Put On IWM

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

U.S. small-caps have been through a lot in recent months.  Chart 1 says it all.  Will that change following Tuesday’s huge reversal? Since the Russell 2000 Index (1224.6) broke the mid-October 2014 trend line toward the end of April, it … Continued

Odds Of IWM Breakout Suspect As KBE Gives Out Signs Of Fatigue

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Is the Fed about to make a mistake? Post-FOMC meeting yesterday, the Fed’s ‘dot plot’ suggested a majority of policymakers were leaving the door open for two rate hikes in 2015.  After the release of the statement, TLT, the iShares … Continued

Imminent (?) breakout retest on RUT probably validates bullish small-cap thesis

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Small-caps relative outperformer past several weeks Hard to make fundamental case, but technically RUT acts very well Ideal, and probable, scenario: RUT pulls back for successful retest of recent breakout There is something very interesting going on in the small-cap … Continued

Oversold bounce possible on RUT near-term, but continued weakness probable medium-term

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The Russell 2000 Small Cap Index fell four percent last week.  In the futures market, large speculators could not have ridden it better.  They have been net short since early April – by both cutting longs and raising shorts – … Continued