Revision Trend Decidedly Down For 3Q22 S&P 500 Earnings Estimates Past 3 Months

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The 3Q earnings reporting season just began. Revision trend has been down. Given the tightening monetary policy and the deteriorating outlook for next year, it is possible managements begin to lower guidance for next year, bringing into question the sell-side’s … Continued

4Q21 S&P 500 Earnings Revision Trend Flat Since Last Aug, With Massive Growth Deceleration in ’22 and ’23

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Three major US banks drew mixed reaction post-earnings last Friday as the 4Q21 season got underway in earnest. Ahead of this, the S&P 500 is acting a bit weak, but no major support has been breached. If anything, bulls at … Continued

Earnings Season Set To Begin This Week – Post-Earnings Reaction Key, With Large-Cap Multiples Increasingly Set To Act As Headwind

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The 3Q earnings season begins in earnest this week. Leading up to this, the revision trend is up and stocks have come under a little pressure. Post-earnings reaction likely gets influenced by several variables, not the least of which is … Continued

S&P 500 Earnings Look Very Good On Absolute Basis, But Growth Rate On Pace To Rapid Deceleration Soon

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The S&P 500 is probably headed for a test of the 50-day, which is merely 1.5 percent away. Should the average be breached, it will have come at a seasonally tough period and at a time when earnings look very … Continued

Regardless Next Year’s Elevated Earnings Expectations Come Through Or Not, Gap Between GAAP And Non-GAAP Persists

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The sell-side, as well as equity bulls, have high hopes for S&P 500 earnings next year. Even if they come through, the gap between GAAP and non-GAAP will persist. US corporate profits adjusted for inventory valuation and capital consumption snapped … Continued