Long A Laggard Versus Large-Caps, Small-Caps Come Roaring Back – Imminent 2100 Retest Will Be Telling

Small-caps have awoken from their slumber. The Russell 2000 is up 6.6 percent in the last three sessions, with a breakout at 2100. Long a laggard versus large-caps, particularly tech, small-caps’ latest outperformance is raising questions as to if this … Continued

1Q22 S&P 600 Earnings Estimates Tumble, Even As Sell-Side Optimism Increases For ’23!

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Blended 1Q S&P 600 earnings estimates took a nosedive in the week to last Wednesday. This preceded a deteriorating profit trend among small businesses since last October. The Russell 2000 has tumbled nearly 26 percent the past six months. This … Continued

After Several Tries, Russell 2000 Breaks Out Of 1450s, But Bears Not Backing Down Just Yet

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

The Russell 2000 Wednesday broke out of 1450s, although bulls were forced to retest the breakout in the very next session.  Wednesday’s low-volume breakout comes against the background of a collapse in small-cap earnings this year and elevated optimism next … Continued

Post-Russell 2000 Breakout, NFIB Survey Shows Big Improvement In Small-Business Profit Trend

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Two weeks after the Russell 2000 breaks out, November’s data shows big improvement in small-business profit trend.  Job openings is another data point worth watching.  Small-business openings currently are diverging with the national trend. The recent breakout in small-caps is … Continued

Apathy Toward Small-Caps Will End At Some Point – Key Support Levels Can Provide Clues

Small-caps get no love, even as large-caps rally to new highs.  Non-commercials’ bearish position in Russell 2000 mini-index futures is near an 11-year high.  At some point in the future, these holdings can provide a tailwind to the cash, as … Continued