Fed May Have Missed Opportunity – Again!

posted in: Credit, Economy | 0

In late 2014/early 2015, U.S. economic data began to either stall or decelerate. Take capacity utilization, for instance.  It peaked at 78.9 percent in November 2014, peaking before tagging 80 percent (Chart 1).  The Fed funds rate was still near … Continued

Recent Spurt In Rates Bound To Hurt Housing, If Sustained — Likely Not Sustainable

posted in: Credit, Economy | 0

U.S. sales of homes – both new and existing – are at/near cycle highs.  This amidst personal incomes that are struggling to rise with surging home prices.  Against this background comes the recent backup in mortgage rates, particularly post-Trump victory.  … Continued

Infrastructure Spending – Markets Pricing In Too Much Of Good News?

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

“…I want to solve health care, jobs, border control, tax reform.” The above quote is from a weekend interview president-elect Donald Trump gave to the Wall Street Journal. The article also talks about his willingness to keep parts of the … Continued