After Big Rally, Value-Conscious Investors In Particular Likely Get Tempted To Lock In Gains

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Last Thursday’s sizable drop in major US equity indices was sudden.  Several metrics were so deep into overbought territory the decline probably did not come as a surprise to many.  The magnitude of it was.  Indices have rallied in the … Continued

Investor Optimism Giddy Going Into 4Q19 Earnings Season

Elevated multiples have not bothered equity bulls.  In recent months, the Fed too has come to their aid.  Investor optimism is dangerously elevated going into the 4Q19 earnings season. The 4Q19 earnings season kicks off this week.  Banks and brokers … Continued

Breakout In Small-Caps Can Drive Several Metrics Into Dangerously Extended Territory

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Large-caps keep making new highs.  Should small-caps, which currently sit at crucial juncture, manage to break out, risk-on sentiment can get a tailwind, driving several indicators – already extended – to dangerously extended territory. US equity indices keep making new … Continued

After 17-Session, 14% Jump, S&P 500 Frothy

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Bulls are snorting – again.  From the Boxing day bottom, the S&P 500 is up 14 percent.  Last week, it recaptured 2630 as well as the 50-day.  While healthy, the rally has come too far, too fast. Equity bulls deserve … Continued