Trade Policy Uncertainty Notwithstanding, Equity Bulls Welcome Weakness Emanating From DeepSeek And Tariff Jitters For Now

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Equity bulls bought weakness owing to DeepSeek and tariff jitters. Near term, the major indices act like they want higher prints. Mid- to long-term, the outlook gets muddied thanks to uncertainty owing to the new administration’s trade policy in particular. … Continued

IWM – Risks Elevated Medium Term, Coin Toss Near Term

Even though trade tensions particularly between the US and China have heated up, small-caps – supposed beneficiaries of a trade war – have stalled of late.  Medium term, downside risks are huge.  In the very near term, it is a … Continued

S&P 500 Struggle To Lift Off Of 200DMA – Short Put For Premium/To Position For Earnings Bounce

Presently, the state of US trade deficit and how the Trump administration is attempting to address it is front and center. In February, the deficit came in at $57.6 billion, with the 12-month total of $589.6 billion, which was the … Continued

U.S. exports can least afford to weaken further, given increasing role in GDP

posted in: Currency, Economy, Technicals | 0

Growth rate of U.S. exports decelerating since 2Q14 At north of 13 percent, exports’ share of GDP remains very high Surging $ no good news for exports; some signs of fatigue, but buck’s momentum intact The advance estimate of real … Continued