CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 29, 2019. Beginning December 21, the CFTC was not able to publish reports on time due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, which has now reopened.  The CFTC expects … Continued

Depending On If Bulls Or Bears Win Out At 2800 On S&P 500 Can Be Telling

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

After the October-December rout, US stocks rallied big in January and February-to-date.  Several data points such as consumer and investor sentiment followed suit, but their rise has been muted.  For longs, this could mean there is room for more strength, … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 22, 2019. Beginning December 21, the CFTC was not able to publish reports on time due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, which has now reopened.  The CFTC expects … Continued

Retail Sales Data Gives More Ammo To Those Fearing Recession

posted in: Credit, Economy | 0

Thursday’s retail sales data likely poured more gasoline into the recession-fear fire.  The cycle is getting long in the tooth.  Risks are rising.  The expansion has lasted for nearly a decade.  Contraction is just a matter of when not if. … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 15, 2019. Beginning December 21, the CFTC was not able to publish reports on time due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, which has now reopened.  The CFTC expects … Continued

Long And Short Of Short Interest

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the January 16-31 period in 10 S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) Shorts continued to cut back in the second half of January, as XLB (52.78) kept … Continued

Major Indices Face Moving-Average, Fibonacci Resistance – Money-Market Funds Hold Key

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Major US equity indices are facing moving-average as well as Fibonacci resistance.  The path of least resistance is down near term, with decent support not too far away.  For this to hold, money-market funds hold the key. Since peaking at … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 8, 2019. Beginning December 21, the CFTC was not able to publish reports on time due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, which has now reopened.  On Tuesday, data … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 31, 2018. Beginning December 21, the CFTC was not able to publish reports on time due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, which has now reopened.  Last Friday, data … Continued