CoT Update
The CFTC has not updated the CoT report the past three weeks due to the partial shutdown of the federal government. The publication will resume as government operations return to normal. Thanks for understanding!
Long And Short Of Short Interest
Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the December 17-31 period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) Shorts got aggressive during the reporting period. XLB (52.48) dropped to 47.05 intraday on December … Continued
December Corporate Bond Issuance Collapses – Credit Metrics Do Not Suggest Stress
Corporate bond issuance in December simply collapsed. In that same month, Steven Mnuchin held talks with major US banks to make sure they had ample liquidity. While this does not help shore up investor confidence, other metrics such as the … Continued
Soothing Words From Powell Help Stocks – Momentum Lies With Bulls For Now
Fundamentals are still a suspect, but US stocks were treated with soothing comments from Fed chief last week. Bulls have the ball, but bears are likely to show up at $260 on SPY. Speaking at the American Economic Association’s annual … Continued
Oversold Stocks Have Room To Rally, But Macro Worries Get In The Way
Volatility has picked up in US stocks. This is a perfect environment for traders who are nimble enough and ready to take ones and twos, quickly locking in what markets give them. It is increasingly becoming clear why stocks began … Continued
No Shortage Of Volatility In 1st Session This Year – Investor Sentiment Finally Panicky
The January barometer failed to work last year. This year, if the first session is anything to go by, odds are it will be volatile. Amidst all this, equity bulls should take heart from the fact that in the latest … Continued
Bulls, Bears Likely Lock Horns Around 2600 On S&P 500 Next
It is probably not coincidental that US stocks and Treasury yields peaked together early October. The 10-year rate is right near support and has room to rally near term. This should bode well for equity bulls who last week put … Continued
Long And Short Of Short Interest
Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the December 3-14 period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) XLB (49.46) dropped to 47.05 intraday Wednesday before reversing to end the session up 4.5 … Continued
Odds Growing Sharp Reflex Rally In S&P 500 Sooner Than Later
From early October, the S&P 500 is down 18 percent. Important support lies at 2400, or just underneath. Several indicators are at/near panic levels. Risk-reward odds favor unwinding of these conditions sooner than later. There is blood on the Street. … Continued
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 18, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 380.8k, down 13k. With pressure growing from diverse quarters, including the White House, to stay pat in this week’s meeting, the Fed went ahead … Continued