The 10-year yield retreated last month from a potentially crucial spot. The supply-demand dynamics are in favor of bond bears, but this is also a well-known fact, hence may already be in the price. They at the same time are … Continued
In 1Q22, US corporate bond issuance was down 14.5% y/y, with high-yield collapsing 68%. This took place even as HYG, along with LQD – already under sustained pressure – are clinging on to crucial support. In the first three months … Continued
There are four more months before 2020 is out, but US corporate bond issuance already set a new record. The Fed’s new policy under which it buys corporate bonds – both investment-grade and high-yield – has lit a fire under … Continued
Already-levered US corporations are levering up even more. The first half this year already matched issuance of last year. This is taking place even as corporate debt is at record high, with several metrics well into extended territory. Momentum in … Continued
Already elevated, US corporate bond issuance has gotten a new lease on life, thanks to the Fed, which acted because credit markets were seizing up. Longer term, this ensures leverage continues higher. When it is all said and done, there … Continued
The longest bull market in U.S. stock market history abruptly came to an end last month. Between March 9, 2009 and February 19, 2020 – that is, 131 months – the S&P 500 large cap index rallied 401 percent, second … Continued
US corporations issued 5.8 percent more bond last year than they did in 2018. The $1.41 trillion in issuance is still lower than the 2017 record high of $1.64 trillion. It is possible corporations are pulling in horns because they … Continued
US corporate bond issuance is on course for a sharp snapback from last year’s seven-year low. Treasury issuance continues rapid growth trajectory, as it needs to keep up with growing deficit spending. Despite what we hear and read, there is … Continued
Corporate bond issuance continues to surprise on the downside. While some technical factors could be responsible for this, the deceleration comes amidst strong GDP growth. In July, US corporations issued $61 billion in total, made up of $52.5 billion in … Continued
U.S. corporate debt issuance continued to decelerate in February. High-yield spreads are not pointing to stress in the system. After January’s $133.7 billion, February issuance slowed down to $84.3 billion. As a result, the first two-month total, comprised of $184 … Continued