Longest Bull Market In U.S. Stocks Bid Adieu But Not Before Flashing Warning Signs

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities | 0

The longest bull market in U.S. stock market history abruptly came to an end last month.  Between March 9, 2009 and February 19, 2020 – that is, 131 months – the S&P 500 large cap index rallied 401 percent, second … Continued

Z.1 — 2Q17 Household Assets At New High, Several Other Metrics At Nosebleed Territory

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities | 0

The financial accounts of the U.S. for 2Q17 was published last Thursday.  Better known as the Z.1 report, the massive quarterly publication contains tons of useful data – thus highly recommended. The seven charts below try to highlight where things … Continued

Bulls Have More To Worry Long-Term Than If August Lows Hold

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

With all the hand-wringing over whether or not the August lows will hold, this is the least of bulls’ worries.  Bigger challenges probably lie ahead. Of the big four – the S&P 500 index, the Dow Industrials, the Nasdaq composite, … Continued

Bulls And Bears Duel In Uncharted Territory

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities | 0

We are in uncharted territory!  On so many levels.  As you will see in the charts below, many valuation metrics are stretched. The nation’s debt load just rose to a new high.  At 1Q15, the total credit market debt outstanding … Continued

Party hard, but dance near exit

posted in: Economy, Equities | 0

Sideways move in stocks – just a pause or sign of fatigue after six-year run? Several different measures point to gradual buildup in complacency over the years Human nature not to want to leave party early, which is fine unless … Continued

N/T bias is up, but likely setting up another shorting opportunity later on

posted in: Economy, Equities | 0

Draghi finally delivers, igniting a global rally in stocks Here in U.S., sustainability in doubt unless stocks attract some of that money U.S. households not likely to be source of funds as money market funds lower than pre-crisis As expected, … Continued