Major Indices Trudge Higher, Even As Divergences Appear

posted in: Credit, Equities, Technicals | 0

Stocks continue to trudge higher.  Volume is low and action listless.    But price tells us otherwise.  Amidst this, some divergences are showing up, and they are worth paying attention. Equity bulls deserve kudos.  Since the October-December decline last year, they … Continued

Relief Rally Possible Near Term, As VIX Unwinds Overbought Condition

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Last week’s mini sell-off in U.S. equities did not materialize all of a sudden.  This was building for a while. The Russell 2000 small-cap index in particular peaked as early as July 25. Investors/traders in general gravitate toward small-caps when … Continued

With Handsome Gains YTD, Major U.S. Indices Give Out Signs Of Fatigue

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Amidst 2Q17 earnings and elevated multiples, some signs of fatigue are showing up on major U.S. indices. As of last Thursday, 2Q17 operating earnings of S&P 500 companies were on course for $30.70.  In the year-ago quarter, they were $25.70 … Continued

Major U.S. Indices Struggle At/Near Major Resistance – Risk/Reward Favorable For Shorts

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Major U.S. indices are struggling at major resistance. Here are the levels indices were aiming to take out: Dow Industrials, 17000-plus; S&P 500, 1990; Nasdaq 100, 4350; Dow Transports, 7700; and Russell 2000, 1080, among others. The Industrials sought to … Continued

Amidst Extremely Overbought Conditions, Major Indices At/Near Major Resistance

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

U.S. stocks have come a long way since February 11th. Intra-day, off that low through last Friday’s high, here is how much major U.S. indices have rallied: Dow Industrials, 10.1 percent; S&P 500 large cap index (Chart 1), 11 percent; … Continued

Party hard, but dance near exit

posted in: Economy, Equities | 0

Sideways move in stocks – just a pause or sign of fatigue after six-year run? Several different measures point to gradual buildup in complacency over the years Human nature not to want to leave party early, which is fine unless … Continued

‘Buy the dips’ in process of transitioning into ‘sell the rallies’?

’15 growth in revenue/earnings expected to decelerate for most S&P 500 sectors Signal from options market points to probable pressure ahead for equities S&P 500 looks set to at least test if recent breakout was genuine At first glance, U.S. … Continued

VIX spike-buy signal in the making near-term?

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Sellers take advantage of early-morning strength to sell more stocks Amidst this, transports, high-yields draw buyers; panic noticed in VIX:VXV action Trade could be developing, but given developments in energy space, sustained rally not probable Another ugly day!  Could have … Continued