1Q22 US Corporate High-Yield Issuance Down Huge Y/Y; Both HYG And LQD Cling On To Crucial Support

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In 1Q22, US corporate bond issuance was down 14.5% y/y, with high-yield collapsing 68%. This took place even as HYG, along with LQD – already under sustained pressure – are clinging on to crucial support. In the first three months … Continued

Decline In YTD Issuance Likely Causes Supply-Demand Imbalance In High-Yield Bond

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Continued contraction in corporate issuance of high-yield bonds is likely creating a supply-demand imbalance, helping the likes of HYG. Eight months in, 2018 corporate debt issuance continues to shrink.  August saw issuance of $98.6 billion, made up of $83.4 billion … Continued

Divergence Galore – Risk-Off Sentiment Reflected In Small-Caps, High-Yield

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There is divergence in the markets.  Tons of it. Large-caps are going one way and small-caps the other.  Ditto with transports and high-yield. The Russell 2000 small cap index peaked on 1514.94 on October 5, before trending lower in a … Continued

Last Week – Was It Risk-On Or Risk-Off?

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Post-Brexit two-session sell-off in stocks was a clear risk-off.  The S&P 500 large cap index dropped 5.3 percent in those two sessions.  The subsequent four-session, 5.1-percent surge through last Friday was risk-on.  Risk-off quickly followed by risk-on!  The average investor … Continued

JNK Relief Rally Possible Short-Term, But More Pain Probably Lies Ahead Medium- To Long-Term

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One look at Chart 1, and it is hard to notice a significant change in momentum behind the U.S. high-yield debt market.  Through July, issuance totaled $188.4 billion.  Annualized, 2015 is on track to issuing north of $300 billion – … Continued

Soaring U.S. Corporate Bond Issuance — The Good, The Bad And The Ugly

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U.S. corporate bond issuance is on track for yet another record year this year. In the first half, issuance totaled $877.7 billion, comprised of $697.8 billion in investment-grade and $179.9 billion in high-yield.  Annualized, both categories, as well as the … Continued

Silver lining in U.S. corporate debt binge cloud

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U.S. corporate share buybacks in full swing; debt issuance on track for yet another record year Despite surge in issuance and rising share of high-yield debt, there is silver lining in cloud Corporations have been extending maturity as well as … Continued