Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 3, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 654.5k, down 119.5k. February pulled a surprise, as the economy unexpectedly lost 92,000 jobs, even as January and December were revised lower by a … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Feb 24, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 774k, down 103.8k. ISM manufacturing activity in January entered expansion territory for the first time in 11 months. The job market could be stronger, … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Feb 17, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 877.9k, up 64.8k. On Friday, the day the Supreme Court struck down President Donald Trump’s blanket tariffs in a 6-3 vote, the 10-year treasury … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Feb 10, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 813k, up 83.6k. Minutes of the January 27-28 FOMC meeting will be out Wednesday. The fed funds rate was left unchanged at that meeting … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Feb 3, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 729.4k, up 3.3k. There is a lot of talk around the nominee to replace Chair Jerome Powell regarding the balance sheet of the Federal … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Jan 27, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 726.2k, up 70.5k. As expected, the fed funds rate was left unchanged at this week’s FOMC meeting at a range of 350 basis points … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Jan 20, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 655.6k, down 214.9k. The FOMC meets next week. In the futures market, under five percent of traders are currently pricing in a 25-basis-point cut, … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Jan 13, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 870.5k, down 45k. Non-commercials reduced net shorts in 10-year note futures by 4.9 percent this week, but they maintain a heavy bearish exposure. Yields … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Jan 6, 2026. 10-year note: Currently net short 915.6k, down 24.1k. Going into December’s jobs report out Friday, futures traders were extremely confident that the fed funds rate would be left unchanged … Continued
With sell-side optimism around 2026 earnings at a record high, major US equity indices are not too far away from their respective record highs. At the same time, after seven up months in succession, potentially bearish monthly candles have appeared … Continued