After Tough September, Major US Equity Indices Ready For Relief Rally – Magnitude/Timing Notwithstanding

Investor sentiment has taken a hit in recent weeks but can continue lower in the right circumstances, although a pause is likely right here and now, helping stocks. Stocks took it on the nose in September. The S&P 500 tumbled … Continued

Equities Break Out, More Stimulus Eyed Post-Election, Putting Aside Tax-Hike Risk For Later

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Stocks increasingly are beginning to price in a possible democratic sweep on November 3. Both small- and large-caps staged important technical breakouts last week. They are liking the prospect of more stimulus, that is rising budget deficit. If this scenario … Continued

Gold Gets No Love, But Trying To Stabilize – Dec ’15 Trend Line Defended

It is increasingly getting difficult to discern if US markets are in risk-on or risk-off mode.  There is a bid under the long end of the sovereign bond market.  This in general is a risk-off behavior.  Both the S&P 500 … Continued

US Dollar Index At Fib Resistance – Path Of Least Resistance Down, At Least N/T

posted in: Currency, Derivatives, Technicals | 0

The US dollar index is at an interesting juncture.  The peak in January coincided with a 61.8-percent retracement of the 41.2–percent decline between July 2001 and April 2008.  Right now, it has essentially gone sideways the past five weeks, unable … Continued