Equities have been under pressure the last several weeks. Investor sentiment has taken a beating. Amidst this came signs last Friday that a relief could be in the making. With the major equity indices under selling pressure for at least … Continued
The major US equity indices have now dropped for three weeks. Amidst this, last Friday’s action should bode well for the bulls – at least in the near term. The ratio of VIX to VXV ended last week at the … Continued
Equities celebrated last week’s Republican sweep with huge gains. More gains are possible ahead, although not all the wheels are in sync. Leading into last Tuesday’s presidential and congressional elections, the S&P 500 was kind of stuck in a rut. … Continued
Until 8:30 Friday morning, the consensus firmed believed in Goldilocks. July’s weaker-than-expected jobs report quickly changed this into heightened odds of a recession. How this shakes out in the sessions ahead will be telling. If the bulls are still in … Continued
Equity bears had a great session last Thursday as a bearish engulfing candle developed on several indices, but bulls promptly denied them continued momentum on Friday. This week is key. From last October’s low through last Thursday’s high, the S&P … Continued
Stocks have done very well this month, pushing the major equity indices into overbought territory. Several other metrics are extended but not extreme. This should give the bulls an opportunity to continue to ride the momentum, but can they pull … Continued
Both large- and small-caps failed at crucial resistance last week. Investor focus shifted toward fundamentals that could wobble in the months and quarters ahead. The upward move in equities since last October’s low was a technical move, unwinding the oversold … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 20, 2023. 10-year note: Currently net short 750k, up 58.1k. The Bank of England’s unexpected 50-basis-point hike on Thursday to five percent highlights central bankers’ increasing frustration with inflation that is … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 13, 2023. 10-year note: Currently net short 691.9k, down 61.8k. Non-commercials reduced net shorts in 10-year note futures for the second week in a row. In the last couple of weeks, … Continued
US stocks have come under immense downward pressure of late. Amidst this came signs late last week that a relief was overdue. Several indicators are languishing in oversold territory, an unwinding of which could unleash upward pressure for stocks. The … Continued