CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of February 23, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Negative interest rates have suddenly become the topic du jour.  Last month, Japan waded into negative interest rate policy (NIRP).  This was totally … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of February 16, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Global GDP will only expand at three percent this year.  Says the OECD – the latest body to cut growth forecast this year.  … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of February 9, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: On June 5, 2014, the ECB cut the deposit rate for the euro zone’s commercial banks to minus 0.1 percent from zero.  It … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of February 2, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: There you go!  Again. Less than three months after instituting the first rate hike in nine years, Fed officials are behaving as if … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of January 26, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Two important developments took place this week in central banking. First, the Fed.  This week’s FOMC meeting was a non-event.  No interest-rate decision … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of January 19, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The International Monetary Fund lowers – again – its outlook for global economic growth this year.  Warning of bumpier rides, especially in the … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of January 12, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: With crude oil tanking the way it has, it is worth taking note that oil does correlate with inflation expectations.  Already, the 10-year … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of January 5, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The World Bank, warning of an increase in risks to the global economy, expects growth this year to come in at 2.9 percent, … Continued