Forget Large- Versus Small-Caps; Even Within S&P 500, Soldiers Falling Behind Generals

The 2Q earnings season begins next week in earnest. The bar is low. Ahead of this, large-caps are leading but economically-sensitive small-caps are lagging. The latter likely is eyeing the 500-basis-point rise in the fed funds rate since March last … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of August 3, 2021. 10-year note: Currently net long 87.7k, down 76.8k. A total of 5.7 million and counting. That is the number of non-farm jobs needed to match the pre-pandemic high of … Continued

S&P 500 And Nasdaq 100 Equal Weights Meekly Break Out, Even As Market Cap-Weighted Cousins Itching To Do So

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Equal-Weighted Indexes pertaining to both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq recently broke out, although not decisively. Their market cap-weighted cousins could soon follow them. Should that happen, it is important to consider the vigor with which that happens. Equal-weighted indexes … Continued

Post-Election Winners Look Fatigued, Rotation Candidate Not Yet In Focus

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U.S. small-caps have had a phenomenal run post-election.  From November 8 close through the intra-day all-time high 1392.71 on December 9, the Russell 2000 small cap index jumped 16.5 percent.  It has come under slight pressure since that high, but … Continued

Peek into future through futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of April 7, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Interesting times, indeed!  Mexico this week issued a 100-year bond denominated in euros.  This is not the first time that nation has tapped … Continued