U.S. Stocks’ Near-Term Path Uncertain, But Outlook Cloudy Medium- To Long-Term

For the second consecutive year, U.S. stocks are struggling to get traction in December.  Month-to-date, the S&P 500 large cap index is down 0.9 percent.  December last year was down 0.4 percent. In fact, before trading began last week, the … Continued

SPY Weekly Short Put — Willing To Go Long Near Support

December thus far has been uncharacteristically quiet.  And that is putting it nicely.  U.S. stocks have failed to get seasonal traction this month.  So far. There are eight sessions remaining before the year is out.  So there is hope. Since … Continued

Short Squeeze A Factor In Equity Rally, Longs Likely Using This As Opportunity To Exit

posted in: Equities | 0

Turns out short interest was indeed a tailwind for stocks in the two weeks ended October 15th. On SPY, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF, short interest declined 10.6 percent, to 332.1 million (Chart 1).  The ETF rallied 5.6 percent during … Continued

Do Bulls Have Enough Firepower Left To Stop Bears’ Dream From Coming True?

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

One look at Chart 1, and U.S. equity bulls may have a reason to salivate.  Or not.  It can be a reason to worry as well. NYSE Group short interest is through the roof.  Literally.  By the end of September, … Continued

Bears Have Given Bulls Squeeze Opportunity, Can Latter Take Advantage?

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Are things really bad out there? Without a doubt, there is no shortage of things to worry about.  From slowdown in China to volatility in emerging markets to continued deceleration in the global economy to the Fed possibly committing a … Continued