Of Similarities And Differences Between 2015 And 2011, Latter Outweigh

posted in: Economy, Equities | 0

Around the August lows in U.S. equities, several sentiment indicators looked washed out.  For instance, the bulls’ count in Investors Intelligence’s survey dropped to 24.7 percent in the September 29th week – the lowest since late December 2008 (although bears … Continued

Bears Have Given Bulls Squeeze Opportunity, Can Latter Take Advantage?

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Are things really bad out there? Without a doubt, there is no shortage of things to worry about.  From slowdown in China to volatility in emerging markets to continued deceleration in the global economy to the Fed possibly committing a … Continued

Contrarian in, complacent out

posted in: Equities | 0

March starts off by notching new highs for most U.S. indices Giddy investor sentiment – from pros to newsletters to individuals If past is guide, it pays to pull in horns when crowd becomes worry-free Uh-oh! The Nasdaq composite on … Continued

BBG poll of 54% expecting U.S. markets to outperform this year in line with giddy NAAIM sentiment

posted in: Equities | 0

Bloomberg poll: international investors most bullish on U.S. markets in more than five years Giddy sentiment in agreement with message coming out of NAAIM and II Inflows from overseas key; as of November they are MIA Some interesting tidbit came … Continued

Looking for opportunities to short again

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Post-October 15th reversal, equities have come too far too soon Sentiment less frothy, but in worse-case scenario has room to go a lot lower Having expended lots of energy past several sessions, bulls lack buying prowess for now Phew!  Some … Continued

Nervous money managers sticking with their longs, but buying protection

posted in: Derivatives, Equities | 0

In a global survey of 200 institutional money managers, the Bank of America/Merrill Lynch found that the pros are worried about the stock market and are buying protection against a crash.  They are worried about geo-political events and about interest … Continued