Regardless If THE Low Is In On S&P 500, Risk-On Attitude Missing — Weakness Brewing N/T

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In the current bear market, the S&P 500 is down nearly 34 percent, which is the 8th worst out of 14 going back to 1929.  It is too soon to say if THE low is in.  After the March 23rd … Continued

Proposed Tax Measures On Verge Of Becoming Law – ’18 Earnings Estimates For S&P 600 Companies Yet To Stabilize

posted in: Economy, Equities | 0

Even as passage of tax measures in Congress looks like a done deal, 2018 operating earnings estimates for S&P 600 small cap companies are yet to show signs of stability. Post-presidential election in November last year, U.S. small-caps outperformed – … Continued

Bulls Momentum-Drunk – Rightly So Thus Far – But Momentum Cuts Both Ways

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Say what you want, equity bulls deserve kudos! There is an unprecedented bid under the market particularly since the election (November 8) last year.  The S&P 500 large cap index has nearly rallied 11 percent since!  The rubber band keeps … Continued

Amidst Persistent Downward Revision In S&P 500 Op Earnings, 2018 Starts Out At > $147!

The S&P 500 large cap index trades at 21.3 times operating earnings or 17.4 times or 15.5 times.  Take your pick.  The first one uses trailing 12-month earnings, and the latter two forward. In Chart 1, the red bars are … Continued

Buybacks Continue To Decelerate In 3Q16

posted in: Credit, Equities, Technicals | 0

The pace of stock buybacks by S&P 500 companies continued to decelerate in 3Q16. With 86 percent reporting, as per Howard Silverblatt of S&P Dow Jones Indices, buybacks are down eight percent quarter-over-quarter and down 22 percent year-over-year. These are … Continued

Markets Dance To Fed’s Tune Way Too Much … Matter Of Time Before This Backfires

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Markets are under the influence of the Fed’s rate hike talk – or a lack of it – a little too much … to such an extent that it can potentially backfire someday. Last Thursday, we learned that the ISM … Continued