CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of August 4, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net long 92.1k, up 18.9k. The Fed’s balance sheet peaked in the week to June 10 at $7.17 trillion, up nearly $3 trillion in three months.  … Continued

After Big Rally, Value-Conscious Investors In Particular Likely Get Tempted To Lock In Gains

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Last Thursday’s sizable drop in major US equity indices was sudden.  Several metrics were so deep into overbought territory the decline probably did not come as a surprise to many.  The magnitude of it was.  Indices have rallied in the … Continued

Bulls, Bears Remain Locked In Rangebound Action, Even As Options Signal Froth Building

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Range-bound action continues on major US equity indices.  After defense of support last Thursday, they gapped up Mon to rally right into resistance.  No breakout yet.  This is taking place in the wake of massive rallies off of the March … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

posted in: Uncategorized | 0

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 3, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 156.7k, down 117.3k. It seems nothing matters.  On a day the bond market found out the US economy produced much-better-than-expected 273,000 non-farm jobs in … Continued