Margin debt is tightly correlated with the major US equity indices, with the former up nicely from its low of last December, although the willingness to take on margin debt is nowhere near as strong as was the case in … Continued
Even as the major US equity indices have rallied into crucial resistance, the share of stocks above their 50-day is at/near levels where risks of reversal are very high. Stocks have come a long way the past three months. The … Continued
US stocks continued their downward trend last week. Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq suffered their seventh consecutive weekly drops. Amidst this also came flashes of hope. The Russell 2000, a risk-on barometer, failed to make a lower low … Continued
The Nasdaq Composite is down 23 percent from its record high last November. Shorts have done exceedingly well, as short interest rose to a fresh high mid-April. Both the Composite, and the Nasdaq 100, closed Tuesday at a crucial level. … Continued
In a matter of three weeks last month, the S&P 500 gave back 12.4 percent. A .618 golden ratio of that decline lies at 4591, which was tested on February 2 and again on Wednesday. The 50-day lies just above … Continued
The 50-day on the S&P 500 was once again defended. Households’ equity exposure is on course for yet another high in 3Q, even as margin debt jumped to yet another record in August. Amidst these signs of excesses, the Fed … Continued
The Nasdaq Composite and Nasdaq 100 are at new highs, but their A-D lines are acting different – in confirmation with the latter but not the former. Once again, it is a case of the soldiers not falling in line … Continued
Investors Intelligence bulls-to-bears ratio hit four this week – a rare occurrence. This is taking place at a time when internals on the Nasdaq are diverging with the index. Tech’s importance is all too known, with the top five US … Continued
As major US equity indices post record highs, margin debt is inching ever closer to its high from May 2018. In all probability, November will have made a new high in margin debt. Amidst all this risk-on behavior, it is … Continued
It is easy to see why bears get tempted to short. Fundamentally, things are ugly. At the same time, the Federal Reserve has essentially backstopped stock prices. Shorts have gotten squeezed over and over. Bruised tech shorts are still not … Continued