Major US equity indices experienced a gap-up breakout on November 6, after it became apparent that the presidential election from the previous day was won by Donald Trump. Last week, those breakouts were successfully retested. On the 6th, the S&P … Continued
After seven consecutive up weeks, the Nasdaq 100 went negative last week. Bulls came so close but were denied a new high. This is occurring even as breadth is in divergence with the index. Tech bears last week finally achieved … Continued
The Russell 2000’s continued difficulty at 2100 runs in contrast to one after another high notched by large-cap indices such as the S&P 500. That said, last week’s weekly gravestone doji on the Nasdaq 100 is worth watching. After unsuccessfully … Continued
From last month’s record highs, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are down just under three percent and have now approached the 50-day, which has not been lost since last October when they bottomed. Given that the trendline support … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 2, 2024. 10-year note: Currently net short 570k, down 8.4k. Minutes for the March 19-20 FOMC meeting are due out Wednesday. At this point, no one probably cares what the members … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 1, 2022. 10-year note: Currently net short 274.9k, up 10.2k. Last Wednesday when the FOMC concluded its meeting and Fed Chair Jerome Powell announced there was “quite a bit of room” … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 25, 2022. 10-year note: Currently net short 264.7k, down 6.8k. Jerome Powell, Fed chairman, has a task at hand – to bring inflation, the likes of which has not been seen … Continued
There is already a debate going on as to if a new bull market has begun. What is more important at this stage is if last week’s low holds, as stocks likely come under pressure near term. Regardless if a … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of November 27, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 284.2k, down 83k. Jerome Powell, Fed chair, moved markets on Wednesday. A whole host of asset classes reacted to his Economic Club of New … Continued