What If?

posted in: Credit, Economy | 0

Is the U.S. economy strong, weak or just about right?  Better yet, is it getting stronger, weaker or going sideways?  The truth is, pessimists and optimists both can selectively pick and choose to support their own bias. That said, data … Continued

Decent Odds Of Rally Near-Term So Long As S&P 500 Does Not Lose 2040

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Equity bulls are putting down their foot, and have near-term momentum on their side so long as 2040 on the S&P 500 is not lost. Off the April 20th high through last Thursday’s intra-day low, the S&P 500 lost four … Continued

No rate hike in foreseeable future

posted in: Credit, Currency, Economy | 0

Fed gets rid of “patient”, but hints it will be patient in hiking rates Surging dollar impacts exports; Fed takes 2015 GDP forecast down a notch With economic data increasingly coming in weak, rate-hike odds this year next to nil  … Continued

Despite big yawn from bond market, job openings point to continued improvement in non-farm payroll

posted in: Credit, Economy | 0

What is going on in the jobs market the past several months is reviving hopes that better days are ahead. There is a lot we can point to in order to validate how anemic the recovery has been post-Great Recession.  … Continued

ZIRP-induced interest-rate dynamics between income and payment

posted in: Credit, Currency, Economy | 0

There is probably no other price as important as the price of money – that is, interest rates.  They are what grease the wheels of an economy.  Simplistically, when rates are high, people are incentivized to save more.  When they … Continued