Under Pressure For Several Weeks, Equities Could Be Signaling A Relief Is Imminent

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Equities have been under pressure the last several weeks. Investor sentiment has taken a beating. Amidst this came signs last Friday that a relief could be in the making. With the major equity indices under selling pressure for at least … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 11, 2025. 10-year note: Currently net short 737.1k, up 25k. In the futures market, traders are once again betting that there would be at least two 25-basis-point cuts in the fed … Continued

Friday’s Reversal Should Bode Well For Equity Bulls/Volatility Bears N/T, Even As Large-Cap Indices Are Now Down 3 Weeks In A Row

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The major US equity indices have now dropped for three weeks. Amidst this, last Friday’s action should bode well for the bulls – at least in the near term. The ratio of VIX to VXV ended last week at the … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 4, 2025. 10-year note: Currently net short 712k, up 12.2k. Horizontal support at 4.2s-4.3s goes back years. Last week, the 10-year treasury yield closed at 4.23 percent. It was a make-or-break. … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 25, 2025. 10-year note: Currently net short 699.9k, down 9.7k. Non-commercials’ net shorts in 10-year note futures are down nearly 39 percent from the record 1.1 million contracts in the week … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 18, 2025. 10-year note: Currently net short 709.5k, down 41.5k. FOMC minutes for the January 28-29 meeting contained some interesting tidbits, including members’ citation of the possible effects of potential changes … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 11, 2025. 10-year note: Currently net short 751k, up 43.3k. FOMC minutes for the January 28-29 meeting will be out Wednesday. The policy-setting body left the fed funds rate unchanged at … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 4, 2025. 10-year note: Currently net short 707.7k, up 7.1k. Friday, the University of Michigan consumer survey was published for February, and it was revealed that the respondents meaningfully raised their … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 28, 2025. 10-year note: Currently net short 700.6k, up 120.4k. As expected, the FOMC this week left the fed funds rate unchanged at a range of 425 basis points to 450 … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 21, 2025. 10-year note: Currently net short 580.2k, up 12.3k. The FOMC meets next week. The 28-29 meeting is the first this year. It is certain the fed funds rate will … Continued