Last Week – Was It Risk-On Or Risk-Off?

posted in: Commodities, Credit, Equities, Technicals | 0

Post-Brexit two-session sell-off in stocks was a clear risk-off.  The S&P 500 large cap index dropped 5.3 percent in those two sessions.  The subsequent four-session, 5.1-percent surge through last Friday was risk-on.  Risk-off quickly followed by risk-on!  The average investor … Continued

Did Fri Breakout On S&P 500 Change Facts Enough For Bears To Change Mind?

“When the facts change, I change my mind.  What do you do, sir?” The above remark is often attributed to John Maynard Keynes, the British economist, although some dispute it.  Regardless who said it, it is a nice quote. More … Continued

IWM Weekly Naked Call For Income Generation At Best, Go Short Near Resistance At Worst

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Since the August 24th low in U.S. stocks and the subsequent rally, some signs of risk-on are visible, but small-caps are substantially lagging large-caps. In Chart 1, a product of XLV (healthcare), XLU (utilities) and XLP (consumer staples) is divided … Continued

XLY And XLP Both Act Strong At First Glance, But Latter Leading On The Quiet

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Markets tend to be either risk-on or risk-off.  For the most part, anyway.  One of the ways market participants can keep a pulse on risk-taking – or a lack thereof – is by simply looking at which sectors are outperforming. … Continued

Shorts Only Hitting Singles And Doubles, Longing For Home Run

posted in: Equities | 0

Buy-the-dippers have been a roadblock to shorts’ success. It is probably not an exaggeration to say that the prevailing buy-the-dip mentality in U.S. equities has done to this bull market what oxygen does to a fire.  When O is present, … Continued

End-March short interest: Indices flat, lots of changes industry- and sector-wide

posted in: Equities | 0

Short interest as of the end of March was flat on an index level, but action was hot and heavy on an industry/sector level. On the NYSE, short interest was 15.68 billion, down from 15.69 billion two weeks ago.  On … Continued