Macro Deceleration Getting Confirmed By How 10-Year T-Yield Behaves

posted in: Credit, Economy, Technicals | 0

If early this year the 10-year T-yield vouched for the strength of the US economy as it broke out of multi-year/decade resistance, what is it trying to tell us now that it seems to have hit the wall and is … Continued

XLY Breaks Out, Yet Risk-Reward Odds For Now Tilt Toward Risk

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

XLY, the SPDR consumer discretionary ETF, acts well.  It just broke out to a new high, as did its top three holdings – Amazon (AMZN), Home Depot (HD), and Comcast Corporation (CMCSA).  These three make up 12.7 percent, 7.3 percent … Continued

U.S. Sales Of Light-Weight Vehicles Bright Spot — Some Yellow Flags Rising

posted in: Economy | 0

June U.S. auto sales 17.1mn units, preceded by cycle high of 17.7mn in May Auto loans nearing $1tn; sharp rise since 3Q10; non-revolving consumer credit $2.5tn Potential problems in autos: extension of average maturity and rise in average amount financed … Continued

Any Connection Between ZIRP And U.S. Consumer Spending?

posted in: Credit, Economy | 0

U.S. consumer spending, accounting for >2/3rds of economy, key to growth Over last eight years, bank deposits have grown 80 percent But interest income suppressed due to ZIRP Do consumers always benefit from low interest rates?  At first glance, that … Continued