Major US Equity Indices Feverishly Rallied For 7 Months Post-Apr Bottom, Then Produced Potentially Bearish Monthly Candles In Nov, Dec

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With sell-side optimism around 2026 earnings at a record high, major US equity indices are not too far away from their respective record highs. At the same time, after seven up months in succession, potentially bearish monthly candles have appeared … Continued

Surging Rate-Cut Hopes Combined With Defense Of Support Led To Last Week’s Rally, Driving Indices Into Overbought Territory N-T

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Equity bulls are hoping for a squeeze. With index-level short interest at/near record, longs, if successful, will be able to build on last week’s positive momentum. Seasonality is on their side, but it is equally possible this potential tailwind has … Continued

With Signs Of Subtle Short Squeeze Unfolding, Equity Bulls Eyeing More, But Tech Earnings And FOMC Need To Cooperate This Week

From the intraday low 12 sessions ago, the S&P 500 is up five percent, with back-to-back gap-up sessions in the last two. This is taking place at a time when Nasdaq and NYSE short interest sits nears record highs. In … Continued

With Several Wasted Opportunities Last Few Months, Bears Have Another Opportunity To Capitalize On Last Week’s Indecision Candles

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Nasdaq and NYSE short interest just hit a new high. With stocks showing strong momentum, short squeeze is always possible, but the major equity indices are also giving out signs of fatigue. Having had difficulty converting potentially bearish candles into … Continued

With NYSE, Nasdaq Short Interest Near Record, Bulls Pine For Squeeze; For That To Happen, Overbought Magnificent 7 Hold Key

With index-level short interest near record highs, equity bulls are hoping for a squeeze. But with so much riding on Magnificent 7, which have already rallied big into earnings, the possibility of a sell-the-news phenomenon cannot be rejected outright. At … Continued

Large-Caps Break Out To New Highs; Bulls Hope Hitherto Buyback Tailwind Is Supplemented By Short Squeeze

Large-caps broke out to new highs last week. Concurrently, Nasdaq/NYSE short interest – just below their respective highs – remains elevated; equity bulls can take advantage of this should they succeed in engineering a squeeze. Buybacks in this regard have … Continued

Large-Caps, Including Tech, Itching To Break Out To Fresh High, Even As Small-Caps Are Stuck In A Rut Well Below Its Nov ’24 High

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Large- and small-caps are diverging, with the former looking to break out to a fresh high and the latter stuck in a range well off its high. Large-cap bulls are eying a breakout on the S&P 500. Last week, the … Continued

Long A Laggard Versus Large-Caps, Small-Caps Come Roaring Back – Imminent 2100 Retest Will Be Telling

Small-caps have awoken from their slumber. The Russell 2000 is up 6.6 percent in the last three sessions, with a breakout at 2100. Long a laggard versus large-caps, particularly tech, small-caps’ latest outperformance is raising questions as to if this … Continued

With Persistent Failure To Capitalize On Favorable Setups, Bears Wonder If Opportunity At Hand Will Be Different

As the rally from the lows of October persists, there are fewer and fewer bears around. In the last several months, they have had several opportunities to gain the upper hand, but to no avail. Another opportunity is at hand. … Continued

1Q24 Earnings Season Begins Amidst Collapse In Bearish Sentiment And More Or Less Sideways S&P 500

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The earnings season is upon us. The bar is low. With the S&P 500 sideways in recent weeks after a massive rally since last October, better results can help the index push through short-term resistance, but building on the gains … Continued