CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of November 12, 2019. 10-year note: Currently net short 148.8k, down 82.7k. TLT (iShares 20+ year Treasury bond ETF) peaked at $148.90 on August 28, ending the week at $137.76.  Since that peak … Continued

Shorts Contributed To Nasdaq’s Oct Rally, Bulls Looking To Squeeze More But Need To Defend Breakout Retest

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Since bottoming early last month through last week’s high, The Nasdaq rallied more than 10 percent.  Shorts contributed, as short interest dropped 1.1 percent last month.  Short interest remains elevated.  Bulls are eyeing a squeeze.  For that, they need to … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of November 5, 2019. 10-year note: Currently net short 231.5k, up 115.4k. The 10-year Treasury yield (1.93 percent) bottomed on September 3 at 1.43 percent.  Since then, rates have formed higher lows, followed … Continued

Nasdaq 100 Reaches New High Last Fri, S&P 500 Itching To Do So; Left Curveball Could Come From VIX Futures In Due Course

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The S&P 500 is itching to make a new high.  The Nasdaq 100 achieved that feat last Friday.  Lowered earnings estimates for the third quarter went a long way, among others.  Bulls have momentum right now.  Medium- to long-term, massive … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 15, 2019. 10-year note: Currently net short 99.7k, down 22.9k. Most US economic data out this week continued to point to sluggish activity.  Retail sales in September fell 0.25 percent month-over-month … Continued

Nasdaq 100 1.1% From July Peak, New High Potentially Squeezes Shorts

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With spring in their step, tech bulls Tuesday rallied the Nasdaq 100 to trend-line resistance from the all-time high set in July.  A new high has the potential to squeeze shorts.  Nasdaq short interest is at a four-year high.  There … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 8, 2019. 10-year note: Currently net short 122.6k, down 41.1k. The 10-year Treasury yield (1.75 percent) put in a higher low.  On September 3, rates fell to 1.43 percent, which was … Continued

In Perfect Scenario For Bulls, Elevated Money Market Funds Combine With Elevated Short Interest To Squeeze Bears

posted in: Equities | 0

Bulls have managed to wrest control of momentum near term.  Bears had an opportunity late July-early August when in seven sessions intraday the S&P 500 lost 6.8 percent.  Bulls put their foot down near crucial support just north of 2800.  … Continued