Several Risk-On Metrics Diverging, But Momentum Ball With Bulls For Now

US stocks rallied strongly last week.  Bulls enjoy momentum right now.  That said, risk-on is not full-on.  What transpires at 2890s on the S&P 500 can be a tell near term. May’s employment report was mixed at best and disappointing … Continued

Bulls Defend 2600-2630 On S&P 500 Last Week – Market Reaction To FOMC Meeting This Week Likely Tell

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Bulls last week defended support at 2600-2630 on the S&P 500, which has rallied massively since bottoming on December 26.  Daily conditions are deeply overbought, pricing in a dovish Fed.  A two-day FOMC meeting begins Tuesday.  A ‘buy the rumor, … Continued

By Year-End, Fed Funds On Pace To Exceed Inflation Rate – That Should Begin To Bite

posted in: Credit, Economy | 0

If the Fed moves in September and December, the fed funds rate will be in excess of core inflation.  In a leveraged economy, that should begin to bite.  The FOMC dot plot expects three more hikes next year.  This is … Continued

Consumers Beginning To Bite More Than They Can Chew

posted in: Credit, Economy | 0

U.S. consumers are alive and well.  There is both good and bad in this – good now but potentially bad down the road. Consumer spending in December rose 0.4 percent month-over-month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $13.7 trillion.  … Continued